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Some Questions for a Catalan Independentist

TweetIn just over a week, many Catalan towns will hold 'consultaions' about Catalan independence. These consultations (consultes) take the form of a mock referendum. They're not legally binding in any...

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Pact for Catalan government made; 2014 referendum agreed

TweetCiU and ERC have agreed the terms for forming a government in Catalonia. The major detail behind the agreement is that a referendum on Catalan independence 'will be held in 2014'. The pact comes...

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Shut down democracy to save democracy!

TweetOne of the more esoteric arguments against the Catalan independence referendum (an argument favoured by our erstwhile interlocutor who still may not speak his name), is that the act of holding...

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Catalan independence: Some quick thoughts on numbers

TweetThese are just some notes I scribbled down the other day. I'm not a statistician (as will become clear very soon*) but I did want to dig into the opinion poll results a little more and try to work...

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Latest poll data shows 50-point lead for independence in Catalonia

TweetA follow-up from my recent post taking a quick and dirty look at polling numbers. As per usual, these polls are certainly not 100% reliable.In this case, the poll [PDF] was carried out by GAPS for...

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Where is Catalonia's Rubicon on the road to independence?

TweetSo the gradual creep towards independence continues in Catalonia. A referendum remains highly unlikely as the only remote possibility of one being held is it being approved in the Congreso in...

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Catalonia independence referendum: date, questions and Spanish response

TweetAs you'll have heard by now. A referendum on Catalan independence "will be held" on November 9 2014. It will consist of two questions: "Should Catalonia be a state? And if so, should it be an...

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PP u-turn to offer Catalonia a new fiscal pact – what now?

TweetIt looks likely that next week will see Mariano Rajoy offer Catalonia a new fiscal settlement in an effort to deflate growing support for independence. This would represent a huge policy shift for...

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Perfect timing for Catalan independence on #9N?

TweetOne of the recent posts I wrote on here asked at which point the Catalan government would 'cross the Rubicon' into potential illegality in the 'process' towards independence. Today, less than 48...

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